My prediction is that an "independent" Alberta likely ends up as part of the USA within a generation or less, maybe as little as a decade. Or comes crawling back to Canada, but that's less likely IMHO. They would be even more resource dependent than they are now making them a desirable and likely easy takeover target for Washington. And my sense of the Alberta independence movement is that joining the US would really not be seen as a bad outcome for them.
Quebec, OTOH, would not fare well in the USA. Their nationalist aspirations, socialist leaning, and attempts to become a French-speaking secular state wouldn't fly with a lot of the US, including/especially MAGA. So likely they become independent, stay independent, and lean strongly towards Europe rather than the USA.
Oh, I agree very much. That's why I suggested this "jump" likely won't last past the next election when their ridings probably go back to the Conservatives. Not sure much can be done though under current circumstances. My suggestion would be legislating that an MP switching parties triggers a recall vote except we don't have those federally yet.
