I still wish there were more statistics or other information on the overall health of individuals before and after they got the virus - to know how different people, depending on their pre-virus condition, might react differently to it. Without naming names. Just age, sex, and overall health prior. There's probably a pattern they're noticing by now. That would let people have a general idea of how to, more or less, prepare.
Novel Coronavirus
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We do know that more men have been affected more than women (so far), but not the reason why. Children are less affected but they are checking into if they can be carriers without getting sick.
Lastpointe
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I am not sure where you are getting a mortality rate of 1 % for corona virus. So far it is between 2-4%.
seasonal flu is 0.1%. So this is twenty to forty times more deadly. If it spreads like the seasonal flu does, it will be devastating. I think that is the issue. Plus at least with seasonal flu you can take a vaccine. Tons of people don’t of course
each flu season seems to attack certain groups more that others. Children. Or elderly. One year teens were very affected
time will tell with this how rapidly it spreads and how deadly it is
seasonal flu is 0.1%. So this is twenty to forty times more deadly. If it spreads like the seasonal flu does, it will be devastating. I think that is the issue. Plus at least with seasonal flu you can take a vaccine. Tons of people don’t of course
each flu season seems to attack certain groups more that others. Children. Or elderly. One year teens were very affected
time will tell with this how rapidly it spreads and how deadly it is
Lastpointe
Well-Known Member
They have found at least one child who was not ill but was shedding the virus. But I suspect that is the case with lots of viruses. You as a host are not sick but you unknowingly pass it on
In case you can't find a mask.
Mendalla
Happy headbanging ape!!
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As a percentage of confirmed cases. The general suspicion among epidemiologists seem to be that if we could account for unreported mild and asymptomatic cases, it would be much lower. IOW, that's probably an upper limit rather than an average.
Lastpointe
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And today they estimate up to 40% of people could get it. 40 of Canadians is around 15,000,000. So even if it drops to a flu mortality of 0.1%. That is 1.5 million Canadian deaths
obviously no one really knows. Will this be like the plague. Or Spanish flu that killed millions. Or a short term virus that disappears. More like SARS
obviously no one really knows. Will this be like the plague. Or Spanish flu that killed millions. Or a short term virus that disappears. More like SARS
B.C. announces 8th case of COVID-19 in woman visiting province from Iran | Globalnews.ca
Chief medical health officer Dr. Bonnie Henry and Health Minister Adrian Dix said the woman, who is in her 60s, travelled to the province from Tehran, Iran.
globalnews.ca
BC has an 8th case, travelled from Iran. 4 of the earlier cases have recovered. 3 are stable. This new woman, in her 60s, has a mild case, is self isolated.
The article says BC has tested more people for covid-19 than the entire US.
KayTheCurler
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Lastpointe could you give a reputable link to that estimate saying 40% will get it. I haven't heard that and it sounds a lot like wild speculation to me.
Lastpointe
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I can’t load either article. Read it in both The Hill and The Atlantic. If you google them. Sorry I can seem to cut and paste
honestly I think that is a very long shot. of course the world has seen mass infections before. Just not in our times of modern medicine and modern safety measures
honestly I think that is a very long shot. of course the world has seen mass infections before. Just not in our times of modern medicine and modern safety measures
Are you sure it wasn't talking about Americans?
The math could be wrong.
I was once told that the math couldn;t be wrong as it has certain law attached about putting the lines in orders, matrix, etc.
The imaginary, unreal numbers popped out of nowhere's ... nevah to be understood by great flowing masses of naivete! Tis an enigma ... know it! Thus nated and knotted as the Master of Entanglement ... Que PID? That primal thingy ... that can stun ... and they call a storm of stones Mariah ...
The imaginary, unreal numbers popped out of nowhere's ... nevah to be understood by great flowing masses of naivete! Tis an enigma ... know it! Thus nated and knotted as the Master of Entanglement ... Que PID? That primal thingy ... that can stun ... and they call a storm of stones Mariah ...
dreamerman
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When you do the math 40% of 15,000,000 is 6,000,000 and when you take 0.1% of that it is 6000. Or if it is 1% it would be 60,000 which is still a lot of deaths but no where close to 1.5 million.
In chaos of an emotional state these be mill'n around ... environmental concern! Vert Egos ... ET'ix?
Mrs.Anteater
Just keep going....
No, the numbers were 40% of all Canadians which would be roughly 38 mio, and then comes to 15 000 000. Not sure where the 40% comes from. My calculator then comes up with 15 000 as being 0.1% of that. Googling states that 3500 people die of flu in Canada each year. So that would be 4.2 times more than die of the flu. IF the 40% number is right In the first place.
dreamerman
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Right. Of course 38,000,000. Why did I think there were only 15,000,000 Canadians?
